Object
Revised Development Strategy
Representation ID: 54249
Received: 29/07/2013
Respondent: Keith Wellsted
For the reasons laid out below I do not believe the numbers suggested are appropriate.
* In 20 years to 2011 population growth was 18%. Now a further 20% increase is proposed in the RDS within only 15 years, with current forecasts for birth rate and immigration this figure seems erroneous. Using projections based only on natural growth of the population and an allowance for migation, only 5400 homes are required.
* Warwick DCs own consultants G.L.Hearn gave an Economic and Demographic Forecast Study in December 2012. In their option PROJ 5 arrived at only 4405 new homes required.
* If growing for new job is the reason, this is not required as Warwick District has low unemployment at only 1.7%. The 2012 Stategic Housing Market Assesment said that overall "Warwick District had a very good job-homes balance".
For the reasons laid out below I do not believe the numbers suggested are appropriate.
* In 20 years to 2011 population growth was 18%. Now a further 20% increase is proposed in the RDS within only 15 years, with current forecasts for birth rate and immigration this figure seems erroneous. Using projections based only on natural growth of the population and an allowance for migation, only 5400 homes are required.
* Warwick DCs own consultants G.L.Hearn gave an Economic and Demographic Forecast Study in December 2012. In their option PROJ 5 arrived at only 4405 new homes required.
* If growing for new job is the reason, this is not required as Warwick District has low unemployment at only 1.7%. The 2012 Stategic Housing Market Assesment said that overall "Warwick District had a very good job-homes balance".